Porto vs Roma | Prediction, Betting Tips & Odds
Though it might not be the most compelling matchup when looking at the pedigree of other ones at this stage of the competition, it is one of the closest. Both teams have a similar quality; they like to play open and efficient, which guarantees that this contest will be fun to watch. One goal scored in Rome puts the host a nice position, but we are sure that the Italians have their own plans of preventing the Dragons from advancing to the next stage.
Porto suffered a huge blow before this game, losing in the biggest derby of the Portuguese football. Benfica was better at Dragao, 1-2, despite being behind at one point. Although the players claim that their focus was on the upcoming Champions League clash, be sure that this defeat hurts. The equally same setback hit Roma. Il Lupi was smashed in the city derby against Lazio, 3-0, suffering one of the heaviest losses facing the Sky-Blues in the last few years.
The Dragons haven’t been particularly well over the last few weeks. The did defeat Braga in Taca de Portugal with 3-0, but apart from that, all other big matches were lost. Against Sporting in the finals of Taca de Liga, to Roma in Italy and now against Benfica. Though the games they play are efficient, and four of the last five saw over 2.5 goals. A defeat against Benfica was the first one after 14 straight wins at Dragao, and the first contest where they couldn’t score two or more goals after eight in which they have. Now, that needs to be taken into consideration, because it seems that their stadium is a real stronghold, regardless of the defeat versus the Eagles.
After four wins in which they played inconsistently and had luck, Roma suffered a trashing in the city derby. All those situations in which they managed to get away without being punished for their mistakes came back now. And in general, the inconsistency mentioned above, is the trademark of this crew. They play a couple of good matches, and after that lose a few, and then the same again. The only consistent thing in their game is the fact that they play high-scoring matches. Previous five concluded with over 2.5 goals, and the same applies to the most recent four away from Olimpico.
Latest Team News
Defender Jorge might appear, but that is not certain, while Marius Mouandilmadji and long absent Vincent Aboubakar are ruled out for Wednesday’s game. For the guests, Cengiz Under is back in training, but the big problem is the flu Konstantinos Manolas picked up. He might be unavailable for a trip to Portugal.
The history is on Porto’s side in situations like this one. The Dragons eliminated Roma twice before this matchup. Once in 2016 group stage playoffs, and the second time 38 years ago in Cup Winners Cup. However, after two losses and draws apiece, the Italians finally broke the ice and defeated the Portuguese powerhouse in the previous game at Olimpico. It was one very interesting contest in which everything happened in just 6 minutes. Roma took the lead, doubled it before eventually, Adrian’s score made it 2:1.
Odds and Predictions
Porto’s win is 2.05, which is a nice odd we need to add. Roma to triumph is at 3.40, while a draw is the most unlikely outcome with 3.50.
Porto vs Roma | Top Betting Tip: Porto (2-1)
We firmly believe that the Dragons have a better team than the Italian side. At least more consistent, that is for sure. The home field advantage and the fact that Roma’s away performances are much weaker than the ones at home is something which forces us to put our money on the home team. When it comes to efficiency, everything under three goals would be a bit of a surprise, even though it is a very important game. We would add both teams to score with that, because Roma has good upfront, which knows how to net. To conlcude, Porto – Roma 2:1.